Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 24.723838 28.566171 32.720916 37.536402 42.952622 48.844608 55.727250
2025-01-26 19.440623 25.068304 31.728744 40.136366 50.404436 62.471300 77.653782
2025-02-02 16.792488 23.580561 32.189423 43.772965 58.797003 77.455317 102.185877
2025-02-09 13.978195 21.153182 30.814830 44.540670 63.261250 87.589578 121.224144
2025-02-16 11.666852 18.897977 29.174546 44.492894 66.320977 95.815270 138.077336
2025-02-23 9.781433 16.885124 27.497507 44.025962 68.525705 102.797552 153.475785
2025-03-02 8.322038 15.252950 26.100716 43.691634 70.717178 109.718039 169.027593
2025-03-09 7.131215 13.843281 24.823612 43.316588 72.687522 116.302081 184.340671
2025-03-16 5.752536 11.878431 22.383140 40.793664 71.060945 117.348728 191.461996
2025-03-23 5.254636 11.398163 22.332685 42.102009 75.482709 127.696273 212.969978
2025-03-30 4.890544 11.106845 22.558505 43.861261 80.714057 139.542669 237.340403
2025-04-06 4.209068 10.082652 21.340701 42.974982 81.441310 144.262576 250.785693
2025-04-13 3.456981 8.820772 19.591189 41.083044 80.517488 146.614160 261.227807
2025-04-20 3.294610 8.807350 20.259753 43.743820 87.816303 163.063888 295.626074
2025-04-27 3.259379 9.074214 21.514882 47.628991 97.587710 184.229890 338.914644
2025-05-04 2.938628 8.614015 21.214816 48.448834 101.805537 196.141573 367.339075
2025-05-11 2.587675 8.009237 20.522128 48.396331 104.358991 205.266741 391.453612
2025-05-18 2.251945 7.371433 19.663368 47.893957 105.976302 212.773016 413.084895
2025-05-25 1.971275 6.819091 18.916921 47.534333 107.811342 220.727208 435.836298
2025-06-01 1.725169 6.307847 18.191399 47.130915 109.499990 228.465531 458.528242
2025-06-08 1.393668 5.460442 16.517417 44.416277 106.233549 226.734730 463.986355
2025-06-15 1.301644 5.335016 16.641483 45.824242 111.634014 241.685854 500.640583
2025-06-22 1.237569 5.287240 16.960713 47.716767 118.183257 259.158744 542.704764